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HEADLINE PLAY
     
On the Rise
By Dennis Ranahan

The San Francisco 49ers won Super Bowl XVI to complete the 1981 National Football League season and thus became the first team to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy following a year with a losing record. Last season, the Philadelphia Eagles won the Super Bowl after compiling a 7 and 9 campaign in 2016.

Between the 49ers being the first and the Eagles the most recent to win the Super Bowl after a losing year there are two other teams that accomplished that feat. The 1999 St. Louis Rams, led by surprise Most Valuable Player Kurt Warner, downed the Tennessee Titans in Super Bowl XXXIV following a losing record in 1998. Two seasons after winning their title, the Rams were upset in Super Bowl XXXVI by the New England Patriots.

That was the first year Tom Brady started for New England and the Patriots have not had a losing year since … although they did have a 5-11 record in 2000 before Brady stepped in for an injured Drew Bledsoe in 2001.

So, what do we have here? We’ve had 52 Super Bowl winners and four of them had a losing record the season before they won it all. Or, put another way, 48 of the 52 winners did not suffer a losing year before winning the NFL’s top prize.

With that as a fact, if you want to pick a team to win Super Bowl LIII that didn’t compile a winning mark in 2017 you are pulling against a stat that wins 93% of the time … not normally the right side of the proposition. But, like any stat, percentages are just what happened and on game day, or on a season long bet, all wagers that don’t push are 100% winners or 100% losers.


HEADLINE PLAY ARCHIVES
On the Rise Headline Play Offseason
Learning Curve Headline Play Offseason
Exception Rule Gameday Offseason
Exception Rule Headline Play Offseason
Surge Fallout Headline Play Offseason
Up is Down Headline Play Offseason
Shelf Life Headline Play Offseason
Too Steep Headline Play Superbowl
What I Want Headline Play Conference Championships
On Defense Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Role Playing Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Happy Alone Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Luck Lands Headline Play Divisional Playoffs
Wild Card Deal Headline Play Wild Card Weekend
Clearer and Clearer Headline Play Wild Card Weekend
The Best for Last Gameday Week 17

FROM THE QOXHI PLAYBOOK

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San Francisco 49ers 0-0
Chicago Bears 0-0
Cincinnati Bengals 0-0
Buffalo Bills 0-0
Denver Broncos 0-0
Cleveland Browns 0-0
FALCONS - EAGLES
Thursday, September 6 - 5:20 PM
AT

STEELERS - BROWNS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

49ERS - VIKINGS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

BENGALS - COLTS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

BILLS - RAVENS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

JAGUARS - GIANTS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

BUCCANEERS - SAINTS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

TEXANS - PATRIOTS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

TITANS - DOLPHINS
Sunday, September 9 - 10:00 AM
AT

CHIEFS - CHARGERS
Sunday, September 9 - 1:05 PM
AT

SEAHAWKS - BRONCOS
Sunday, September 9 - 1:25 PM
AT

COWBOYS - PANTHERS
Sunday, September 9 - 1:25 PM
AT

REDSKINS - CARDINALS
Sunday, September 9 - 1:25 PM
AT

BEARS - PACKERS
Sunday, September 9 - 5:20 PM
AT

JETS - LIONS
Monday, September 10 - 4:10 PM
AT

RAMS - RAIDERS
Monday, September 10 - 7:20 PM
AT

San Francisco 49ers 0
Chicago Bears 0
Cincinnati Bengals 0
Buffalo Bills 0
Denver Broncos 0
Cleveland Browns 0
The NFL

Too Good to Air

WINNING NOT REQUESTED

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Adding Profits

Cause and effect.

It is not always what most people think. But it is consistent. On the other side of something happening, a cause can always be identified as if it was in the shine of a spotlight on an otherwise pitch black moonless night.

Often, affect hides the cause behind public sentiment.

Public opinion is swayed by bits and pieces of information that are assigned significance in an assortment of ways … none necessarily tethered to something that truly drives predictable results.

Going in, likely; coming out, certainty.

Even a contest yet to be decided that has a 99% probability of favoring one side in a two team race fails to offer an ironclad guarantee, but after a game is over one side is the 100% winner and the other a zero.

Certainty is only provided after a contest is decided.

The cause of something is most often tied to the need to perform at a higher level than recent outings. When a team in that sphere meets a team that has run a winning streak to it’s limits, an opportunity to cash a proposition most often comes with points on the spread.