NFL Football Spreads, NFL Football Betting Lines at PicksFootball.com

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Countdown to Next Play:

Arizona Cardinals 8-2
Kansas City Chiefs 8-3
Indianapolis Colts 7-3
San Francisco 49ers 6-4
Dallas Cowboys 6-4
Miami Dolphins 6-4
CHIEFS 20 - RAIDERS 24
RAIDERS WIN +7.5 / OVER 42
AT

BROWNS - FALCONS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

TITANS - EAGLES
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

LIONS - PATRIOTS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

PACKERS - VIKINGS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

JAGUARS - COLTS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

BENGALS - TEXANS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

BUCCANEERS - BEARS
Sunday, November 23 - 10:00 AM
AT

CARDINALS - SEAHAWKS
Sunday, November 23 - 1:05 PM
AT

RAMS - CHARGERS
Sunday, November 23 - 1:05 PM
AT

DOLPHINS - BRONCOS
Sunday, November 23 - 1:25 PM
AT

REDSKINS - 49ERS
Sunday, November 23 - 1:25 PM
AT

COWBOYS - GIANTS
Sunday, November 23 - 5:30 PM
AT

RAVENS - SAINTS
Monday, November 24 - 5:30 PM
AT

JETS - BILLS
Monday, November 24 - 4:00 PM
AT

Denver Broncos 98
Green Bay Packers 96
New England Patriots 93
San Francisco 49ers 86
Seattle Seahawks 86
Miami Dolphins 84
The NFL

Offense or Defense

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HEADLINE PLAY
     
Camp Songs
By Dennis Ranahan

Winning a Super Bowl in back-to-back seasons is really difficult … because winning a Super Bowl once is so darn tough. Still, the Seattle Seahawks came into this season favored to repeat and their backers had a lot of good reasons for anticipating a second straight season that ended with them being presented the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

First, they were no fluke in winning it all last season. They did it like great teams do, with a suffocating defense, efficient offense, great leadership from the quarterback position and a team chemistry that had you thinking they ended practices roasting s'mores and singing camp songs. Head Coach Pete Carroll was like a cool uncle and the roster was dotted with teammates that had personalities and quirks in just the right measure to make it all work.

The Seahawks family had a falling out this year.

Super Bowl hero Percy Harvin punched one too many teammates before he was sent packing to New York like an incorrigible family member might be shipped to a military boarding school. The surly Marshawn Lynch, who is listening to different voices than most of us hear, has been more wayward than teammate this season. Last week, in a critical loss to the Chiefs in Kansas City, he skipped joining the rest of the Seahawks in the locker room at halftime. If he played on Notre Dame in the years Knute Rockne was coaching the Fighting Irish he may not have even known it was time to win one for the Gipper.

Yep, the Seahawks season of cume-by-ahh is over, replaced by a team of misfiring parts that has the defending Super Bowl Champions playing for their postseason lives tomorrow when they host the NFC West Division leading Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks come into action this week tied with the San Francisco 49ers, a situation that could have been anticipated before the season began, but both the favorites in the NFC West are trailing the highflying Cardinals by three games.


Good Business
Bottom Line Profits
By Dennis Ranahan

The cost of a sports service is much more tied to point spread results than the price for the information. That being said, it certainly is most beneficial when solid information is delivered reliably for a fixed price.

One method that gamblers find attractive is a net winner program, where they only pay for the picks when they win. This method is mostly offered by boiler room operations that rely on new business to pickpocket successful clients. Subscriber gains are gouged by exorbitant fees from the service offering the point spread plays, some reported to cost as much as 50% of profits.

The reason the bettors lose in this business model is that they share profits while riding the crest of a winning run, but are left holding the bag when suffering through losing streaks. They also absorb all the actual financial risk. Hence the need for these operations is to focus on attracting new subscribers while losing dissatisfied customers in a commonly short period of time.

Many sports handicapping services will offer a dirt cheap opportunity for their first game, and if it wins begin a barrage of sales pitches that an even better play than the one that just won is now available and it only costs … something significantly more than the introductory game. When, and if, wins pile up the information made available is always promoted as better and therefore more costly.

When the good times end, and three, four or five straight wins are blunted by three wins in the next eleven selections, the dissatisfied customer is left with the debt incurred at the book and with the service holding significant fees for costing him or her money.

As in any financial endeavor, it is best to fix costs that can be and lock them in at an attractive rate. If one was so fortunate as to find a source that truly did offer an edge over the prevailing point spreads the cost is often prohibitive. I knew some friends in college who found such a source in the 1970’s, and while none of them could afford the $2000 annual fee for the NFL season, five of them got together and gained the picks for a much more affordable $400 each.

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