NFL 2026 Season - Week 9
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Week 9
Clipped Wings
Week 8
Their Year
Out of Options
Hot Divisional Battles
Count Me In
Time for Everything
Highs and Lows
Fever Running High
Offense or Defense
Week 7
Rock Bottom Bounce
Motivational Shift
Unbeaten and Winless
High Hopes
Center Cut
Windy City Blowout
Bravely Play On
Evaluate This
Week 6
Run Away
Holes to Fill
Did You Know
Then and Now
Old Transition
Must Win Match
Early Sunday
Perfect vs. Imperfect
Week 5
Out of Control
Take Flight
Weather Factor
Nine and Out
Parade Behind Center
Rookie Rally
Worry Free
Surprise Again For Patriots
Week 4
Two Risers
Offensive Defenses
Double Sided
No Respect
Ripe for the Pickings
Odds on Lightning
Old Foes
Champagne Flight
Week 3
Toy With This
Prime Time Beauty
Second All-Time
Pie in the Face
Launching Pad
Next Week
Pair of Hopefuls
Spiked
Flat to Focused
Week 2
Open Your Eyes
Reversal of Fortunes
Against the Wind
Quick Change
Gift From God
Evidenced Based
4th Quarter Meltdowns
Early Returns
Week 1
Lot to Learn
Giants Reset
Bottom to Top
Quarterback Shuffle
Short Odds ... No Chance
Quarterback Reaction
Entertainment First
No Special Circumstances
All Systems Go
2016 Win Totals
Emerging Division
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Gold Strike
Cap This
Preseason 3
Ready to Deal
QB Questions and Answers
Quick Starts
Preseason 2
Down Again
With and Without
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Fading Fast
Preseason 1
In and Out
Smart Money
Early Returns
Offseason
Go South, Young Man
Time Will Tell
Is and Isn't
Motivation Dictates
Fast Finish, Flat Season
More than Numbers
Winning Drought
Reality Show
Good for Both
Bottoms Up
Clues
On the Road Again
Beat the Book
Down, Up, Down
Lighter Load
Catch Up
Up for Grabs
Diggin' for Dirt
Proof to Follow
Roll the Dice
Public Moves
Improving Good
Return to Sender
Of Course they Won't
Injury Prone
Only One G O A T
Worst to First
     
 
Evidenced Based
by Dennis Ranahan

The Warren Commission Report issued in 1964 was doomed for failure before it got to work. The reported purpose of the investigation headed by Chief Justice Earl Warren was to reveal who was responsible for the assination of President John F. Kennedy. In fact, the purpose of the report was to confirm that Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone and the only three shots fired into the Lincoln that day came from the gun of the designated assassin.

Any discovery that refuted that theory was discarded in favor of landing on the preconceived premise of a single gunman acting alone. An episode of a Dick Wolf crime drama would discard this conclusion before the first commercial. The facts just didn’t support that Oswald acted alone or that only three shots, the number of shells found from where Oswald fired from a book depository building perch, were the only ones discharged.

Thus, to stick with their theory in light of conflicting evidence, the report submitted by the committee in 1964 not only discarded conflicting evidence but also created the concept of the magic bullet that bounced around in the open air Lincoln and left all the wounds the three-bullet premise couldn’t support. This contention would have been better written by Walt Disney than the Chief Justice of the United States because it was pure fantasy.

The Warren Commission Report had a preconceived mandate to prove what they wanted to prove, and the facts be damned.

Tonight’s football game is like that.

Before the teams even arrive at the stadium the opinion of most football followers is that the Buffalo Bills are going to beat the Detroit Lions tonight while they open their new stadium.

Case closed.

Now go find me evidence to support that claim.

Okay. Bills Quarterback Josh Allen is 42-9 in starts on his home field since 2020 and an even more impressive 29-5 over the past four seasons. The Bills are at home tonight and coming off an impressive victory on the road over the highly regarded Houston Texans.

Their opponent tonight, Detroit, narrowly won at home last Sunday when the suspect New Orleans Saints missed a game ending two-point conversion which allowed the Lions to escape their den with a 31-30 victory.

Oh yeah. The Bills beat a strong opponent on the road and the Lions barely slipped by the Saints at home. Give me the Bills.

Not so fast Earl.

There is more evidence to consider before confirming Buffalo the choice tonight.

Did the jump to Buffalo fail to take into consideration that when the point spread is factored into the equation and the Bills are favored by five points or more at home their record since 2020 dips from 42-9 to 28-22-1? Did the public backing the Bills consider that since Lions Head Coach Dan Campbell engineered his first winning season with Detroit in 2022 that his team is 5-4 straight-up and 6-3 against the point spread when getting five or more points on the road? Or that the Bills gaudy 30-6 mark at home over the past four seasons is shifted to a losing 17-18-1 when factoring in the point spread?

If we began the look at tonight’s NFL Week Two opener with the assumption that only one team has a chance of winning, we would land on the Bills. If we consider all the facts objectively, without bending to the prejudice going in, we see a contest a lot more competitive than most.

Enough to jump to the Lions side?

No.

But enough to stay off the Bills.